The North Carolina Bankruptcy Information Blog

Are you buying forecasts of an economic recovery? Don’t believe another global recession is possible? Just ask Michael Spence, professor at New York University’s Stern School of Business and winner of the 2001 Nobel Prize in economics. Recently, Professor Spence told Bloomberg Television Wednesday that there’s “probably a 50 percent” chance of the global economy slipping into recession.

The notion of the United States reverting back into another recession has been on the minds of many economists throughout 2011. But Prof. Spence forecasts that any measurable economic downturn here at home would likely spread like wildfire throughout the rest of the world.…

At a time when a full-fledged recovery remains a distant prospect for many average Americans and their beleaguered budgets, the outlook is also pretty grim for the overall American economy itself.

As millions of men and women flood unemployment lines awaiting word of jobs that may never return, and with few signs that the federal government nor the nation’s central bank will make any further efforts to stimulate our flagging financial state, according to government estimates released Friday, the United States economy grew at a slower pace this spring than even previously thought.

A report on these estimates by The Huffington Post, says, “the news is grim for anyone looking for signs that the recovery has taken hold, and that hiring and expansion are on the way once more… The new figures arrive at a time when investors and analysts are increasingly weighing the possibility of a double-dip recession, following weeks of uncertainty in the stock market and anxiety over political gridlock in Washington.”

This grim report is coupled with more news reflecting high unemployment, dismal consumer confidence and a paltry housing market—all of which have been working in concert to stall the nation’s financial growth in the two years following the official end of the economic recession, and remain unchanged in recent months.…

Are you buying forecasts that we’re in a slow-but-steady economic recovery?

Well some believe the economic recovery never actually happened.

Just ask Nobel Prize winning economist and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman. On the heels of the recent debt ceiling crisis, 600-point plunge in the Dow Jones industrial average and the drop in interest rates to near-record lows, Krugman warns that the United States economy was never truly ‘on the road to recovery.’

As Krugman writes in this week’s New York Times, “It’s not just that the threat of a double-dip recession has become very real. It’s now impossible to deny the obvious, which is that we are not now and have never been on the road to recovery.…

Are You Prepared for an American Recession Turned Great Depression?

Just as many Americans had begun to believe the worst of the economic downturn had passed, some experts are saying that the nation’s reemerging job woes are signs of something more sinister afoot: a potential Great Depression.

So what could cause America’s Recession to turn into a Great Depression?

One commentator for The New Republic, Dean Baker, also co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, says our biggest problem is now ideological: more focus around the Beltway on cutting deficits rather than spurring the labor market and housing markets.…

Continuing unrest in major oil-producing pockets of the Middle East—including recent changes in Egypt’s leadership and the current chaos in Libya—is adding fuel to the rumors that rising gas prices could take us into another economic downturn.

Yes, you read that correctly.

According to a new report from The Huffington Post, “Yet another group of analysts have issued grim warnings about the recent run-up in oil prices. In a letter to clients, analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch have cut forecasts for global economic growth after continuing unrest in Libya led to rocketing oil prices. The economists cut global gross domestic product expectations for this year to 4.3 percent from 4.4 percent.…

Following three months of positive growth in what had been an extended period of recession-era unemployment numbers, business hiring slowed in the latter part of 2010, causing national unemployment figures rose to a staggering 9.8%. But North Carolina experts say our state appears to be bucking the proverbial trend with signs of slow economic improvements signaling signs of hope in the local job market.

According to a recent report by The Charlotte Observer’s Kirsten Valle Pittman, “Experts say the best bets for growth in the coming year are the health care, energy and professional and business services sectors, while manufacturing, construction and government jobs might remain flat or fall slightly.…

Are you buying forecasts of an economic recovery? Don’t believe a “Third Depression” is possible? Just ask Nobel Prize winning economist and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman. On the heels of the G-20 meeting in Toronto, where world leaders pledged to cut their country’s deficits in half by 2013, Krugman warned that worldwide austerity will curb the necessary stimulus needed to encourage economies and deter another downturn.

As Krugman wrote, “We are now, I fear, in the early stages of a third depression. It will probably look more like the Long Depression than the much more severe Great Depression.…

Everywhere you look it seems there are people affected by Congress’s failure to authorize and extend unemployment benefits to jobless Americans. And everywhere you turn there are reports of politicians accusing laid-off laborers of resting on their laurels and depending on these federal same governmental subsidies instead of following through with their job searches. As a result, millions of unemployed workers might be wondering how to pay their debts as Congress tries to trim the deficit during an election year.

Despite Congress’s current apathy to the plight of the unemployed, voters appear to be feeling much more sympathetic as illustrated by two national polls (ABC News and CBS News) released just this week showing that registered voters believe it to be more important to help the unemployed than to reduce the national debt.…

Following the last several years of the worst economic downturn in recent history, economists, commentators and financial experts have recently been heartened about prospects for economic growth and recovery this year as industries increasingly report better profits and the additions of new jobs.

Yet, as the economy emerges from the doldrums, consumers aren’t the only ones feeling hesitant.

Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke said warned Congress recently that the economic recovery “won’t feel terrific.” That may be because, as The Huffington Post reports, “there’s still a significant risk of America falling into a second recession. According to the Wall Street Journal, the latest round of economic news has raised concerns among the Federal Reserve’s board of governors that the chance of a double-dip recession is increasing.”

The Wall Street Journal echoes this dismal news with more bad news from the Fed on the unemployment front.  “I would be surprised if the national unemployment rate were to fall below 9% before the end of 2010 or below 8% by the end of 2011,” Narayana Kocherlakota, Minneapolis Fed president, said Friday.…

While many economists say this decade’s Great Recession ended in the middle of 2009, millions of struggling Americans still working hard to find meaningful employment would definitely disagree…and now, the figures do too.

According to the latest U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics employment report, more than 40% of the nation’s 14.9 million unemployed workers have been out of a job for at least 27 weeks, with an average member of this beleaguered club having been unemployed for 29.7 weeks. For those keeping count, that’s nearly seven months.

And with each passing month, it becomes more and more clear that finding new jobs isn’t getting any easier, with leading economists speculating that not only is the nearly 10% unemployment rate not likely to fall anytime soon, but also that the actual number of workers seeking full-time jobs is on par to grow.…